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Table 2 Candidate variables and sources

From: Stochastic forecasting of project streams for construction project portfolio management

Candidate variables

Source

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTS (GDP)

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

GDP IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

INFLATION RATE

World Bank

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

NATIONAL HIGHWAY COST INDEX (NHCCI)

U.S. Department of Transportation

FDOT’S ANNUAL BUDGET

Florida department of transportation

FDOT’S PRODUCT BUDGET

Florida department of transportation

FEDERAL FUNDS RATE

Federal Reserve Systems

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

FLORIDA UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES IN CONSTRUCTION

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES IN CONSTRUCTION IN FL

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

PRIME LOAN RATE

Federal Reserve System

BUILDING PERMITS

U.S. Bureau of Census

MONEY SUPPLY

Federal Reserve System

AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX (ECI) CIVILIAN

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE

Yahoo Finance

CRUDE OIL PRICE

U.S. Energy Information Administration

BRENT OIL PRICE

U.S. Energy Information Administration

PRODUCER PRICE INDEX

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

HOUSINGS STARTS

U.S. Bureau of Census

CONSTRUCTION SPENDING

U.S. Census Bureau